YIKES! Is this strategy reliable?


Photo shows a stick figure on a corner, facing to cross a 2-lane street that has no stop sign or traffic signal.  In the street to the left of the figure is a car at a stop sign, waiting to cross the same street.


One strategy for crossing streets with no traffic control is to cross with cars that cross the street from the stop sign beside you.

Rationales for this strategy are that crossing with a vehicle from the stop sign will . . .

Predictability of clearance from drivers waiting at the stop sign

When we know that a driver is waiting at a stop sign, can we rely on consistency to be able to predict how much clearance there is on the main street before the driver will cross it?

The behavior of drivers waiting at stop signs has been studied for many years, and research has indicated that their behavior is not consistent. The amount of clearance on the main street that drivers are willing to accept can:

Research to verify reliability of street-crossing strategy
Ann Marie McLaughlin, P.E. and Dona Sauerburger, COMS

How long are the gaps in traffic when drivers cross a street or turn left from a stop sign?
Are they reliably long enough to allow a pedestrian to cross the street safely?

Study:
We observed more than 350 vehicles surge forward from 10 stop signs:
Two stop signs for crossing/entering 2-lane streets;
Four stop signs for crossing/entering 3-lane streets;
Three stop signs for crossing/entering 4-lane streets;
One stop sign for crossing/entering a 5-lane street.

Timing how long the crosswalk is clear: The strategy we were studying is to cross when the vehicle at the stop sign beside you is going straight or turning left (NOT turning right). We found that it is not possible to know whether the vehicle is turning right until it has crossed the first lane, so we started the timer as soon as the vehicle from the stop sign had crossed the first lane. We then measured how much time passed before a vehicle on the main street reached the crosswalk.

Results:
CONCLUSION:

This strategy is unreliable for identifying when it is clear enough to cross the main street. If used, there is about 30-40% chance that a vehicle on the main street could reach the crosswalk and would have to slow down to avoid hitting the pedestrian. There is a 1 in 10 chance that when the pedestrian starts to cross, there is vehicle on the main street only 2 seconds away, and the driver of that vehicle needs at least 3 seconds to stop!

Is the risk of crossing with this strategy acceptable?

All but one of the photos below were taken at one of the 3-lane crossings (the other one was at one of the 2-lane crossings). They each show examples where a vehicle leaves the stop sign when another vehicle is approaching the crosswalk on the main street. A stick figure has been drawn to show where a blind pedestrian might be if he used this strategy and started to cross when he was sure that the vehicle at the stop sign beside him was going forward and not turning right. Photo shows a car that is half-way across a 3-lane street, and a stick figure with a cane is starting to cross to the right of where the car had been waiting at a stop sign.
To the right of the car is another car approaching along the main street, about 10 feet away from the first car. Photo shows a car crossing a 3-lane street from a stop sign.  A stick figure crosses beside it, and to the figure's right is a car approaching from about 30 feet away. Photo shows a car crossing a 3-lane street from a stop sign.  A stick figure is just starting to cross, and to the figure's left is a car approaching from about 20 feet away. Photo shows a van starting to cross a 3-lane street from a stop sign.  To the van's right is a car approaching from about 40 feet away. Photo shows a car starting to cross a 3-lane street from a stop sign.  A stick figure beside the car is also just starting to cross, and approaching the intersection to the figure's right is a car about 10 feet from the intersection. Photo shows a jeep starting to turn left into a 2-lane street.  A car is approaching the intersection from about 40 feet to the jeep's right.

Ann Marie McLaughlin and Dona Sauerburger stand next to their poster at the April 2010 Penn-Del AER conference in Grantville, PA.

Photo shows Ann holding her cane with Dona standing next to a table with a folded display about 3 feet high and 4 feet wide.  The display has the text and photographs from this page. Dona and Ann show the poster to a woman.



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